Ebb and Flow

Iran’s local elections seem to have gone poorly for Mahmoud Ahmadinejad with his slate facing a variety of setbacks in local council elections. Someone who knows more about Iran than I do indicated that there was more significance in the results for something called the Experts’ Council, where Ahmadinejad’s allies also fared poorly. As Sam points out, however, despite all the attention he’s gotten in the West, Ahmadinejad doesn’t control Iran’s foreign policy nor neither his ascendancy nor its reversal should have any potential implications. One doubts that such minor things as “recent events” or “accurate analysis of the Iranian government” will deter America’s Iran hawks, however.

Speaking of which, two good policy papers on Iran out recent. Here’s Justin Logan on why starting a war with Iran is a bad idea. Here’s Flynt Leverett on how to strike a deal with Iran. And here’s the White House trying to stop Leverett from publishing.