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What Do Bond Traders Think They Know

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"What Do Bond Traders Think They Know"

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We see here the past 30 years worth of interest rates on 30 year US government bonds:

bonds 1

And here’s the CBO’s projection for the volume of debt, with the “alternative fiscal scenario” being what the CBO considers to be the most realistic projection based on current policy:

cboproject 1

It’d be interesting to know what the people buying these bonds think is going to happen. Not inflation, based on these yields.

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