According to the latest polling, John McCain has just a 40 percent approval rating among Arizona voters. That’s never good news for an incumbent:
Just 40% of Arizonans approve of the job McCain is doing for them in D.C., according to the poll. In January of 2006, that number was 60%. It’s not clear how much of an impact the tanking numbers will have on McCain’s primary battle with conservative J.D. Hayworth. McCain does better with Republicans than he does with the rest of the state. He’s got a 52% approval rating among the GOP.
Just think about how much worse McCain’s political problems might be if former governor Janet Napolitano were also running against McCain from the left, rather than serving as Secretary of Homeland Security. Right now, though, McCain isn’t facing concrete political pressure from the left despite his low approval rating. Instead, he’s facing objective political pressure only from the right and joined his colleagues in lockstep opposition to Barack Obama’s legislative intiatives. If some Senators feel they may lose their jobs to more-conservative candidates but no Senators feel they may lose their jobs to less-conservative candidates, then it’s very hard for progressive policies to prevail.