Tumblr Icon RSS Icon

Bayh for President!

By Matthew Yglesias  

"Bayh for President!"

Share:

google plus icon

Evan Bayh

To state what I think should be obvious, talk of Evan Bayh somehow challenging Barack Obama for the 2012 Democratic nomination is bizarre. No incumbent president has ever been defeated in a primary. And the only “close calls” came in a tightly bunched historical period (1968, 1976, 1980) characterized by substantial transformation of the regional bases of the major political parties. On top of that, successful primary challenges to incumbents are invariably driven by base-oriented candidates knocking off incumbents who’ve strayed too far off the reservation. And ideology aside, Bayh is no Ronald Reagan or Ted Kennedy. He’s a well-known Senator inside the Beltway (not an invisible man like Crapo or Kohl) but he has no national profile whatsoever. And he has no means by which to raise the funds necessary to acquire such a profile.

On top of all that, there’s just no sign that Democrats have any problem with Barack Obama. His job approval rating is hovering a bit above fifty percent meaning he would need to fall much, much further for him to be in any kind of danger with self-identified Democrats.

‹ Will More Insurance Competition Make Things Better?

What a Difference a Fed Board Member Makes ›

By clicking and submitting a comment I acknowledge the ThinkProgress Privacy Policy and agree to the ThinkProgress Terms of Use. I understand that my comments are also being governed by Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, or Hotmail’s Terms of Use and Privacy Policies as applicable, which can be found here.