The Miami Turnaround

On November 15, I wrote:

What I actually think, meanwhile, is that Miami’s +9.4 point differential is tied with New Orleans for best in the league. So if Miami doesn’t step things up, we should expect them to assemble one of the best records in the league over the course of the next 72 games. What’s more, the currently injured Mike Miller is an underrated player whose return will help the team a lot.

So my prediction is that Miami will be fine, and by the end of the season sports pundits will be offering us a lot of narratives about the improved chemistry among the big three.

And here’s a screen grab from ESPN:

Right now their point differential is +8.7, which puts them third in the league behind Boston and San Antonio. Point differential based on a small sample size is an imperfect predictor of future performance, but it’s a much better one than win-loss record.