Is Joe Bastardi the Worst Long-Range Forecaster Ever?

Many of the key Arctic sea ice records fell this year (see “Record Low Sea Ice Volume, Area and Extent*).

In short, the Arctic death spiral continues.

Meteorologist Joe Bastardi has always made nonsensical forecasts like “The coming cooling of the planet overall will return it to where it was in the ’60s, ’70s, and ’80s.” No doubt that’s a key reasons he is no longer AccuWeather’s chief long-range forecaster. But before he left, Bastardi made a prediction that reveals how his anti-scientific views destroy his forecasting credibility.

On September 20, 2010, Bastardi predicted that Arctic Sea Ice extent would return to 2005 levels: “We are going to recover dramatically here with a cold that is coming over the next 9 to 12 months”!


I know you are wondering where that cold was (see “Third Hottest Summer Globally, Second Warmest for U.S. With Stunning Weather Extremes, Texas Drought Worst in Centuries”). And for those who find it hard to believe anyone could have made such a ridiculous forecast, let’s go to the videotape [put on those head vises]:

Now Bastardi is safely ensconsed at one of the most extreme, anti-scientist organizations in the world, the “American Tradition Institute.”

He also regularly appears on Fox News, inducing many climatologists to explain he is “completely wrong” and “does not understand the very basics of the science.”

Yet he also landed at WeatherBell, a weather consulting firm, where he is “Chief Forecaster.” To ensure no one would take them seriously, WeatherBell also hired another well-known science denier Joseph D’Aleo as “Chief Forecaster.”

Seriously, how consistently wrong does a forecaster have to be before people stop paying attention?

h/t Neven of the Arctic Sea Ice Blog