I definitely agree with Bill Kristol that the Palin pick is best described through gambling metaphors and reflects John McCain’s gambler persona. I guess, though, that if I were going to say that McCain “went all in with Sarah Palin” I would add that he seems to have decided to go all in without really looking at his hole cards which is pretty odd.
Meanwhile, I wish Kristol would have said more about Joe Lieberman. I could understand passing up Lieberman in favor of a safe pick. But as far as risky gambles go, Lieberman seems like the smarter play. For one thing, he’s been vetted in a VP race before. And for another thing, I understand clearly what the potential Lieberman constituency would be — hawkish Democrats who disagree with Barack Obama on key foreign policy issues and are looking for permission to vote Republican. Lots of conservative elites, of course, were horrified by the idea of a Lieberman VP pick for understandable reasons. But Kristol seems like exact the sort of conservative elite — primarily in it for the bloodshed and vicarious thrills of empire — who would look favorably on a McCain-Lieberman ticket so I’d like to hear his thoughts on the matter.