Surveying Iraq’s Mortality

A British polling outfit surveyed Iraqis about deaths in their household and came up with a tally of 1.2 million dead Iraqis as the central point of their estimate (obviously, with a big number like that, the confidence interval includes a wide range). Kevin Drum points out skeptically that this survey seems to indicate that car bombings are being massively underestimated in Iraq — out of 20 or so a day, only 2–3 are getting reported. I agree with him that this seems wrong, but it also seems implausible to me that families would be massively overreporting deaths.