On Monday, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its analysis of Trumpcare. The standout number for most observers, including the local newspapers in states Donald Trump carried in November, is that the bill would cost 24 million people their insurance. And 14 million of them would lose it by next year. The CBO said premiums would rise up to 20 percent in 2018 and 2019 before declining, and older enrollees would be allowed to pay five times as much as younger enrollees, compared to only three times as much under Obamacare.
Additionally, a ThinkProgress analysis found that Trumpcare would result in the deaths of 17,000 people in 2018, the direct result of a loss of insurance.
The “forgotten men and women” Trump lauded in his inaugural address for pushing him to victory would be among the biggest losers under the Republicans’ health care law. The Center of Budget and Policy Priorities released data showing that under the current legislation, deep red states would be hit hardest by shrinking premium tax credits.
— Center on Budget (@CenterOnBudget) March 14, 2017
A small but quickly growing number of Republicans on Capitol Hill are coming out in opposition to the bill following the CBO’s analysis, and more are signaling they are very much not on board yet. The Tea Party is deriding the legislation as “Obamacare Lite,” though many in that faction may still vote for it. Democrats are calling it a “tax break for the rich.”
Even moderate Republicans are getting nervous about the bill’s impacts and prospects. On Tuesday afternoon, Rep. Leonard Lance (R-NJ) told CNN reporter MJ Lee that he didn’t “want to vote on a bill that has no chance of passing over in the Senate.”
Trumpcare is already in serious danger, a bizarre outcome given the amount of time Republicans have had to come up with a reasonable consensus alternative, and how stridently they called for repeal. It’s also bizarre given the lock the party has on the federal government.
The White House may be looking to attract more Tea Party support for the bill by cutting coverage for low-income families. But that may not play well in Trump Country.
Local newspapers in these red states, each of which Trump carried, are giving residents some brutal news about Trumpcare: