With talk in the air of the Obama campaigning trying to target Georgia as a potential pickup reach, I think Nate at 538 raises a cogent objection, noting that it’s “very difficult to imagine Obama winning Georgia without winning North Carolina, and if he’s won North Carolina, he almost certainly won’t need Georgia.” That seems right.
Elsewhere in the same post, Nate notes that McCain at least claims to be treating Virginia as a safe state rather than a swing state in which case he may want to read the polls more closely or take note of who’s winning statewide elections these days. Of course McCain’s campaign HQ is in Virginia, so it’s easy enough to do some covert organizing at this point while still maintaining blustery talk about winning Connecticut.
Photo by Flickr user Abbydonkrafts used under a Creative Commons license